Friday, November 3 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Partly cloudy skies have been the story today with a couple of pop-up showers and storms. That trend will continue this evening with the best coverage of rain, and strongest storms, remaining north of the viewing area. Temperatures will be in the 70s for most of the evening hours. Rain showers will continue to be pop-up to spotty through the evening and early Saturday morning.

Rain should exit the area by lunch time with drier conditions for the rest of the day as high pressure builds into the area. Models have been hinting at showers through the evening still, but with high pressure firmly in place, that should not materialize. However, we are going to be a good 10 to 15 degrees above average and humid, so it is not impossible, but something I am not highlighting in the forecast.

High pressure remains in control through next Tuesday with highs near record values. The easiest record high to break is Sunday (83) where our forecast is at the record. Monday (86) could be in play if we warm enough.

The cold front we have talked about, and mentioned about timing issues, seems to be starting to become clearer about timing and colder air behind it. Models have a consensus today of a Wednesday into Thursday frontal passage (which is an option I have mentioned) with pop-up to spotty showers both days. Behind the front, cooler air arrives for Wednesday through Friday. Based on recent trends, I think models are dropping us too cold (plus they routinely do that this far out), so I am going to go a little warmer than their numbers until we get closer. Also, upper levels don't quite support going as cold as they advertise. We will see a cool down closer to normal (near 70) with a likely rapid rebound before another cold front next weekend or next week.