Monday, February 12 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Today has been a gloomy, dreary, and raw day as temperatures have held in the lower 40s through the afternoon. Temperatures about 5,000 feet above the surface are warm enough that if the clouds broke, we would easily be in the 60s or even 70s. Stubborn clouds and low level cold air have kept the clouds, and few showers, with us through the day. We will keep the clouds tonight and likely through our Tuesday as well as we won't see ridge of high pressure build in until Wednesday. As a result, highs Tuesday will remain in the middle 50s with a stray shower possible through the day. Should clouds break, with the best chances of this happening north of Interstate 20 and west of Highway 15, 60s will be reached. This scenario is unlikely at this point, however.

As winds turn from the south on Wednesday and high pressure builds in, we will see moisture stream back northward ridging the advancing warm and humid air mass. This will touch off isolated showers on Wednesday as the warm front moves through the area. Behind it, temperatures will make a run toward 70.

We should all make it to the middle 70s on Thursday with stray showers possible and mostly cloudy skies. This warmth will be short-lived as a cold front looks to drop into the area on Friday. This front will bring isolated showers Friday through Sunday with a brief cool down thanks to the clouds and rain. Highs will stay in the lower 60s through the upcoming weekend.

High pressure will build back in on Monday, but stray showers are still possible through the day as we return back towards 70.