Tuesday, November 7 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

It has been another warm and humid day for early November with temperatures back into the 80s and mostly cloudy skies. A small band of showers has been pushing southward today along and behind a cold front slowly dropping through the area. This front is the leading edge of seasonal air that is currently oozing southward from North Mississippi and North Alabama where temperatures this afternoon are in the 50s and 60s. The front will drop south of us this evening and overnight with a few stray showers possible through the overnight hours.

An upper level low will approach and arrive in our area tomorrow to bring periods of showers through the day. It appears that our timing for best coverage of showers will be in the afternoon and evening as the low actually gets near us. The first round of showers early in the day will likely miss our area to the north, but we will be close enough to any activity that I cannot say any time frame during the day tomorrow will be completely dry. Besides rain showers, we will see temperatures struggle back to the lower 60s through the afternoon. Our high will likely occur at midnight tonight for Wednesday.

The upper level low should be gone by mid-morning Thursday at the latest which will also bring an end to rain showers and bring clearing skies. Temperatures will return to the middle 60s through the day which is four degrees below average. We will stay seasonal through the rest of the week and into the weekend.

Our next possible system is Sunday, and I say possible as models are starting to shift this system further north with minimal impact to us. Until that solution gains enough weight, I am going to keep a small rain chance for Sunday. Regardless, highs stay seasonal to start next week as well.