Wednesday, November 29 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Clouds have been thick at times for our Wednesday as an upper level low passes to our north. The lift from that system has been combining with increasing moisture to allow for the clouds and very warm temperatures again. Clouds will return overnight with rain showers starting to develop across the area prior to sunrise Thursday. As a cold front approaches, it appears that most of the rain on Thursday will occur before lunch time with clearing conditions through Thursday afternoon. Rainfall amounts will not help our drought with total accumulation likely around a quarter of an inch.

We will keep some clouds around for Friday before we clear most of them out by Saturday as high pressure returns and temperatures warm through the weekend. We will be back to the middle 70s by Sunday with our warmest day on Monday in the middle, and perhaps even upper, 70s.

Next week promises a major pattern change for us as we head into Tuesday and Wednesday. A cold front and strong upper level trough will approach the area on Tuesday. There are still some major timing and strength differences this far out, but models are almost in complete agreement that we will see a cold front work through Tuesday with leftover showers for Wednesday. The front itself, if the upper level support aligns correctly, will have the potential for thunderstorms as well. It is too early to say if these will be strong to severe, but with such a potent system, we will have to monitor that in the days ahead. Behind this system, highs will drop 15-20 degrees by Wednesday with some indications we could get even colder than that as we go from the 70s to the 50s.