Threat for Severe WX

By: Jessica Dealy Email
By: Jessica Dealy Email

If you couldn't tell by the tornado warnings in California, ice up north, and tons of rain expected in Mississippi and Alabama, the classic El Nino pattern has really set in.

During the day today a storm system will cross over the area. Southerly winds are pumping warm air and moisture over Mississippi and Alabama which will act as fuel for storms to feed off of.
The early morning hours will have small isolated showers popping up across Central Mississippi. Storm activity will increase as we go throughout the day. By late tonight our threat for severe storms increases. However, a lot of forecast models show strong storms developing on the Gulf Coast which will cut off moisture transport to East Central MS & AL. If that is the case, our threat will be decreased by a substantial amount.
Instability does not look extremely impressive in our area but the Storm Prediction Center has placed East Louisiana, all of MS, and Western AL in a risk zone for hail, damaging winds, a possible tornado, and isolated heavy rainfall. The main threat for tornadoes is over East Louisiana.
The National Weather Service in Jackson has placed a flash flood watch over much of central Mississippi, mainly North of I-20 and South of US 82.
The soil in these areas is not saturated, so flooding issues should be minimal but sudden heavy downpours could cause road problems.
Although we are not predicting an extremely large severe weather outbreak with this system, it is best to expect the unexpected. Therefore, we will be monitoring the radars today and tonight and of course keep you updated with the latest information.

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