Friday 2/8 Forecast Discussion

There is lots of active weather around the country right now, and it looks like it's going to stay that way for the next few days. I'll outline what's happening where below.

NORTHEAST BLIZZARD: A storm system centered over the Great Lakes (that brought us some rain today) and another storm system off the North Carolina Coast (that brought our Southern zones heavy rain yesterday morning) are currently morphing into one superstorm over the Northeast. Widespread snow totals of 1-2 feet look very likely from New York City all the way up through Maine. Most models are projecting that there will be a band of even more intense snowfall somewhere in Massachusetts, and that could dump 30 inches of snow on some people. As of 4:00 EST this afternoon, roads in Massachusetts were shut down. Along with the snow, very gusty winds in excess of 50 miles per hour are expected over land, with gusts over 70 MPH possible just off shore. The snow should be out of there late tomorrow night into Sunday morning, but this blizzard should be one for the record books. I am interested to see pictures from the Northeast over the next 24 hours or so.

TONIGHT AND TOMORROW: We had some rain around this morning, with a few isolated showers popping up this afternoon as well thanks to a cold front trailing off the Southern end of the storm system that was centered over the Great Lakes that's currently wreaking havoc over the Northeast. The clouds didn't clear out quite as quickly as forecast, so temperatures hovered in the mid and upper 60s all day. The clouds are starting to break this evening, and we will cool down big time into the low to mid 30s tonight. The cold weather doesn't last very long, as we warm back into the 60s tomorrow under partly cloudy skies. Tomorrow will be our last nice, dry day for a while, so get out and enjoy it.

SUNDAY: A very potent storm system is approaching the Four Corners region. It came ashore along the Western Canadian/US Border earlier this week and has been sinking South along the coast since. It has now started moving Eastward, and while the main core of it will pass to our North on Sunday, it will most definitely bring us heavy rain, and for right now, at least a marginal threat for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has an area from East Texas, through Southwest Arkansas, much of Louisiana, and the Western half of Mississippi under their "Slight Risk" of severe weather for Sunday. I do expect that area to expanded farther East to include our viewing area in the next update. A squall line should set up and move through during the day on Sunday, but along and South of I-20 that line could break up, and when that happens, the tornado risk goes up. While this doesn't look like a big, widespread severe event right now, we'll continue to keep an eye on it. Regardless of severe weather, we should all see heavy rain.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY: After disturbance number 1 passes Sunday, Monday morning looks to be dry, but another disturbance should form back to our Southwest and bring us a few more rounds of heavy rain beginning Monday night and lasting through the day on Tuesday. Tuesday's severe risk looks very low at the moment, but will need to be monitored. There is no doubt that the biggest concern for the Sunday through Wednesday time period will be heavy rain. Our Southern areas could pick up as much as 5-6 inches before all is said and done, and our Northern regions will likely see at least 2 inches. Find your umbrella and rain jacket now!

THE REST OF THE WEEK: After all of this rain passes, Wednesday looks cloudy with the chance for some leftover showers. Thursday and Friday are really when the drying process begins. The sun will start to come out and temperatures will be very seasonable with highs in the 50s and 60s and lows back into the 30s.

Make sure to check back here and on Newscenter 11 for updates about the wet and stormy weather ahead!


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