Friday 3/29 Forecast Discussion

As the saying goes, "April showers bring May flowers," it looks like there will be plenty of showers during the first week of April. Before we get to that, today was a beautiful, seasonable warm day with just a few clouds. A stalled front to our North brought a large complex of showers and a few thunderstorms to mainly the Northern half of the state and even as far South as Kemper County, but it is dissipating as it moves into a drier airmass and should completely fall apart as it moves into Alabama over the next few hours. We still can't rule out a stray shower tonight though, but I do think that most of us will stay dry.

Now our focus turns to this weekend, and I'm sure many of you have plans, but showers will be around. If you have plans tomorrow morning (I know there will be lots of Easter Egg hunts), I think we will be dry. As our next pulse of energy passes over us tomorrow, showers should hold off until the afternoon and evening hours. Now to the big day, Easter Sunday. Unfortunately yet another disturbance will move over us and that will bring more chances for showers and a few thunderstorms. If you are headed to a sunrise service, be sure to take an umbrella as our in-house model is painting a band of showers right along the I-20 Corridor early Sunday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will stick around on and off all day on Easter.

We are however, not done with the small disturbance moving through. Monday's disturbance looks to be the strongest with a cold front moving from the North to the South. It should be strong enough to definitely kick off some showers and a few strong to severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. Once we get through the system for tomorrow and Easter, we'll have a better grasp on what to expect on Monday.

Cool and drier air will filter in behind that front for Tuesday, but a pulse of energy from the West Coast will head our way for Wednesday, so we'll keep a slight chance of showers in the forecast for mid-week. A strong Low Pressure system will move down the West Coast during mid-week and move our way for Thursday and Friday. Right now the models are not in very close agreement with the exact strength and path of the system, but it will definitely increase our rain chances for that period.

So in short, just about everyday will have at least some chance for rain, with better chances on Easter, Monday, and Thursday into Friday. Best advice is to just keep the umbrella handy this week!


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