Friday, June 28 Forecast Discussion


Most of us have remained dry today, however, that looks to change as the outflow boundary (rain cooled air) from the storms in central Alabama and from the storms this morning to our north interacts with the hot and humid conditions and an approaching cold front should trigger more showers and storms. The cold front is currently still in Arkansas as it has outrun its upper level support. That will change through the evening and into the overnight as the jet stream catches up and moves the front through the area. Any storms that develop, particularly in a squall line, will have the capability to become strong to severe with damaging winds up to 70mph and hail greater than 1" in diameter.

Rain should exit before sunrise Saturday as the front moves to our south, and most of Saturday looks dry, but we could see spotty showers develop in the afternoon as the upper level low sets up over us. This low will remain in place until the end of next week, which means each day will run the risk of seeing a shower or two and temperatures will be seasonally cool for the beginning of July.

As of now, the best chance of rain after tonight for the next 7 days looks to be on the Fourth as the upper level low begins to pull away, adding uplift over us that may trigger more showers and storms.

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