Friday, March 28 Forecast Discussion

Plenty of rain has fallen across the area overnight with some spots picking up over three inches of rain. Key Field, as of 1pm, has received 2.90" so far today with more rain coming tonight. As we have been mentioned the threat for severe weather tonight, all of the rain we have received has looked to dampen (pun intended) our chance tonight. Storms are currently developing back into Texas, and those will race in our direction through the afternoon and evening hours. Right now, it does not appear they will maintain their punch into East Mississippi and West Alabama, but I cannot rule out a strong storm tonight. The main threat is winds up to about 60 mph and perhaps some large hail. Otherwise, we will see almost a repeat of what we saw overnight except much less rainfall, but still over an inch of rain is possible.

Rain will end by midday Saturday at the very latest with the rain ending as early as sunrise. Clouds will clear throughout the day, and a strong northwest wind will keep our warming in check. I think we should break the 70 degree mark, but just barely. The cooler air will set up chilly mornings for Sunday and Monday morning with lows in the mid to upper 30s, but still well above freezing.

Our massive warm-up begins on Monday as highs should flirt with 80 and we should reach 80 degrees Tuesday through Friday of next week. As we warm, moisture will return to the area which could cause a few pop-up storms Wednesday. Our next cold front will arrive late Thursday into Friday, which will bring our next best shot at rain. While we are still a week out from this system, with as warm as we are going to be, we need to watch this system very closely for the potential for some active weather late next week.


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