June 1, Forecast Discussion

By: Aaron Morrison Email
By: Aaron Morrison Email

Today has been much like yesterday, where the first part of the day was dry and the second half of the day was met with afternoon showers and storms. The upper level low that left much of last week rainy has since moved into the northwest gulf. The flow around the low will weaken over our area, so any storms that do develop from here on out will be thanks to day time heating and convection.

Overnight lows tonight into Monday will be muggy with temperatures holding near 70 degrees. The moisture in the soil will help hold our temperatures up overnight as well as the cloud coverage over our area.

Starting tomorrow into the weekend the clouds will slowly begin to decrease and we will finally be able to see the sun. For the first part of the week, the moisture in the soil will limit just how warm we will get. Temperatures on the ground will hover in the 80s, while several hundred feet in the atmosphere temperatures could hit the 90s. Thanks to the amount of moisture in the soil, not only will our temperatures be sitting in the 80s, but it will feel quite muggy out there.

A ridge will begin to move into the southeast and begin to strengthen over us, so by weeks end we could be dealing with temperatures in the low to mid 90s. Rain chances are minimal thanks to the ridge strengthening over us, but any storms that do form, will be typical of the summer.

By weeks end, the ridge looks to weaken some and a cold front tries to make it's way through the viewing area. With that being the case, rain chances only creep up slightly. Other than that, this week looks to be mostly dry and a bit on the toasty side.

Hurricane season as well as Meteorological Summer starts today. It has been 3,142 days since the last category 3+ hurricane has made landfall (Hurricane Wilma in 2005). It's always important to make sure you have a safety plan in case hurricanes do threaten our area this season. Attached is a link to the 2014 named storms as well as an up to date look at the tropics.

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