Monday, April 15 Forecast Discussion

Two years ago today we were dealing with the first of two tornado outbreaks that impacted East Mississippi and West Alabama. The April 15 outbreak produced several tornadoes that did major damage, with the most damaging one being the one that hit Geiger, Alabama. Today, things are much quieter as we see a mix of clouds and sun and temperatures climb into the 80s.

We will stay in the 80s through the middle of the week as warm air from our south and west settles over us. We will see partly cloudy skies each day, and overnight lows will remain warm as well as they will only drop into the 60s.

It is Friday that will see our next storm system arrive and bring us a chance at rain. Models have been in agreement now for the last 24 hours, so confidence in Friday's forecast is growing. The best lift will be off to our north, so supercells do not look to be an issue for us at this point. It appears a squall line will work through in the morning hours, exit by lunch, and skies will clear for the evening. With any squall line, this looks to be a wind and hail event, and those details will get clearer as we get closer.

Behind this system, we cool down back towards the upper 60s and lower 70s for the weekend before we rebound back to normal for Monday.


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