Monday, August 18 Morning Forecast Discussion

By: Aaron Morrison Email
By: Aaron Morrison Email

It's a calm and quiet start to the morning across East Mississippi and West Alabama, but that will change as the day progresses. For the first part of the morning, expect calm conditions, as to be expected most summer mornings. Temperatures today would be on track to flirt with the mid 90s, but rain and storms will inhibit those temps from climbing.

The storms that will occur today will be a part of a front and upper level low, that will slowly work it's way through the area. Showers and storms won't be an all day event just periods of heavy downpours and possible localized flooding, especially north of I-20. Rain will continue through Tuesday as the frontal boundary swings through the area.

Things will change beginning Wednesday, as an associated upper level ridge begins to build in from the West. As the ridge builds in, rain chances will decrease, with Wednesday being the last day we could see a pop up storm or two. The high pressure will continue to intensify as it moves in over the northern Gulf of Mexico, with this expect some of the warmest stretch of temperatures we've seen this summer.

With this stretch of warm weather, skies will remain virtually cloudless and temperatures will soar into the upper 90s and possibly the triple digits. Heat indices will be near or above 105 degrees through the weekend, so I wouldn't be surprised if heat warnings begin to pop up. No relief looks to break us from this pattern through the next 7 days.

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