Monday, December 16 Forecast Discussion

High pressure situated off to our southwest is influencing our weather and will influence it for the next couple of days. Winds today from the southwest will be light and continue to bring in slightly warmer air as we climb into the 50s today. We should return to the 60s for Tuesday and stay there until Friday.

The high pressure to our southwest will shift to our southeast by Thursday, which is where the big warm up will begin. More moisture will also return, which we will notice as clouds start to arrive on Thursday. Highs reach the low 70s on Friday and mid 70s on Saturday before a system arrives late in the day.

Scattered showers will be possible on Friday as the warm air working northward could touch off a shower or two, but the bulk of the rain begins Saturday ahead of a cold front that will arrive overnight Saturday into Sunday morning. This system looks to exit by Sunday afternoon with cooler weather arriving to start Christmas week.

The question in the forecast is the timing and strength of this system for the weekend. We will have plenty of warm air and moisture in place, and if the dynamics line up right, we could see some potent storms for the weekend. Right now, it is a little too early to tell, but since this is the final weekend before Christmas and a busy travel an shopping weekend is expected, we will be watching this system closely.


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