Monday, February 17 Forecast Discussion

Clouds have gradually thickened through the day today, and we will see some isolated showers as we work through the evening hours. Rain will not be extremely heavy or last long, but showers will pass by this evening. The rain will exit overnight, but clouds will hang around for our Tuesday.

Tuesday and Wednesday will see the cold front that is working through on Monday lift back north as a warm front ahead of our next system, which will mean back to warming temperatures but also some showers possible during the day. The best day for showers of the two will be Wednesday as our highs climb back into the lower 70s.

Thursday is a day we are watching closely as a potent cold front will be working through the center portion of the country. It appears that there should be enough support from the jet stream this far south to enable showers and thunderstorms to develop. Couple upper level support with temperatures that will be near 80 degrees, and ingredients are starting to come together for some severe weather possibilities. The Storm Prediction Center is watching an area from near Indianapolis southward through the entire Newscenter 11 viewing area for the chance for severe weather. We will of course keep you updated on any potential severe weather.

The potent cold front will exit on Friday and leave us a bit cooler as high pressure builds in from Texas. We should remain dry through the weekend and above normal with highs in the low to middle 60s. There is a hint that a system could develop in the Gulf and spread rain showers our way for Sunday and Monday, but that scenario is not one all models agree on, so I will leave rain chances out of the forecast for those days for now.


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