Monday, July 29 Forecast Discussion

Simply a beautiful day across the Twin States with just a few clouds and temperatures warming into the lower 90s. High pressure is building in, and that will keep rain chances away for tonight, but they return tomorrow as heat, humidity, and a stalled boundary act to provide at least enough lift for a storm or two to develop. Most of us should stay dry on Tuesday, but things begin to change on Wednesday.

Wednesday will see our high pressure ridge break down a bit over us, returning us to northwest flow aloft, and allowing greater support for showers and storms to develop in the afternoon hours. The best shot at rain will be Wednesday night into Thursday as a weak cold front approaches and then stalls to our north. Stray chances remain in the forecast into the weekend, but those will be our typical pop-up showers and storms as we move into the beginning of August.

Temperatures look to remain in the low 90s even though our air mass would support highs as warm as 97 degrees. Why the big difference? We can thank our abundance of rainfall so far for the year, especially all the rain the last couple of weeks, as to keeping our ground saturated and preventing us from getting as warm as we could get.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Dorian north of Puerto Rico will be investigated by a hurricane hunter aircraft later today. There is a chance that Dorian could reform over the next day or two (and yes, it would still be Dorian). If that happens, it bears closer watching as it is far enough south that it could enter the Gulf of Mexico.

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