Monday, June 16 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Skies have been bouncing between mostly sunny and partly cloudy through the afternoon hours as temperatures are in the upper 80s. A few stray showers have developed, and these will look to dissipate fairly quickly after sunset tonight. Skies will clear back out to start our Tuesday when we will repeat the cycle all over again.

High pressure at the surface and above the surface is centered over South Carolina but stretches as far west as East Central Mississippi. With high pressure in place, there is no major forcing mechanism to create widespread thunderstorm activity nor organize said activity into strong or severe storms. High pressure looks to remain in place at least until the start of the weekend, so only pop-up rain chances are in the forecast.

As we enter the start of Summer on Saturday, our upper level ridge looks to break down over head which may allow a system to approach the area to start next week. As of now, models differ a bit on the solution to this system, so I will only increase cloud cover into the weekend and next week and slightly bump up rain chances on Monday. Highs look to remain in the lower 90s with a few locations perhaps touching the middle 90s towards the end of the week.


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