Saturday 4/27 Forecast Discussion

We've seen a few strong thunderstorms pop up this afternoon across the area, but most of the heavier storms are up to our North. There is a Tornado Watch for North Mississippi, Tennessee, and Eastern Arkansas until 11:00 PM. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has also been issued for the Northern half of Alabama in effect until 12:00 AM tonight. While most of our viewing area is clear this evening, I do expect at least a few more thunderstorms to pop up tonight. All of this unsettled weather is thanks to a low pressure system centered over Eastern Arkansas with a cold front trailing all the way down through South Texas. As that front moves through tomorrow, we will see more numerous showers and storms down this way fire up especially during the afternoon hours. While some of them will be strong and a few could trigger a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for hail or gusty winds, widespread severe weather is not expected. High pressure will move in behind that front and help to clear us out for the beginning and middle part of next week. Southerly winds bringing in moisture could bring a few afternoon showers each afternoon Monday through Thursday, but I expect just about all of us to stay dry. Our weather will undoubtedly change towards the end of the week, but just exactly what will happen remains up in the air. Models are in agreement that we'll see a low pressure system develop over the Western part of the country and move our way by Thursday, but they differ on the track and intensity of the system. One model believes we'll see a big cool down, while another does not. At this point, I'll take a blend of the model solutions, leaning towards the cooler outcome with highs dropping into the upper 60s for Friday. We'll keep you updated on the thunderstorm chances and possible cool down for the end of the week.


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