Saturday 6/1 Forecast Discussion

Several parts of the viewing area saw rain and some strong thunderstorms this afternoon, however no measurable rain fell at our official reporting site at Key Field. These are your typical afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms that we are so used to seeing on most late spring and summer afternoons. Better organized convection has been ongoing to our North thanks to a cold front that is beginning to move into the Northwest part of Mississippi. This cold front is associated with the system that brought all of the severe weather to the Plains this week, but the dynamic forcing has moved well to the North, so our severe threat is very low. Tomorrow, as the cold front moves over us, we will see periods of rain on and off, as well as a few strong thunderstorms. Main threats tomorrow will be gusty winds and the possibility for some small hail, but those chances are quite low. After the cold front passes, we will see a much more stable air mass set in for much of next week, bringing the rain chance each day through Thursday practically to zero. Temperatures will remain seasonally hot, with highs climbing back into the upper 80s and low 90s. On another note, today marks the official start to Hurricane Season, and it is looking more and more like we could see an early start. Models have been pointing to a system developing in the Caribbean and moving into the Gulf by mid to late week next week. At this point it looks if anything forms, then it will move over the Florida Peninsula, keeping us on the dry side of the storm, but anything can happen, so we'll keep an eye on it. Keep the umbrella handy tonight and tomorrow!


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