Rain showers were the storm for most of this morning, now we are catching a break from the rain, and outside of some renegade showers, our rain is done for the most part today and tonight. It is late tomorrow that the focus will be on the potential for severe weather.
A warm front will attempt to lift northward through the day tomorrow. How far north the warm front gets will determine who will see severe weather. If you end up north of the warm front, you will be out of danger, but those south of the front will need to be on the lookout tomorrow evening. Behind the warm front, temperatures should spike into the 70s with dew points into the 60s. This moist and unstable air will provide storms when the main lift arrives.
An upper level trough will arrive tomorrow evening, around sunset or so, and take until after midnight to leave. This is timing for the severe weather for all of us. This trough will provide plenty of lift for storms to develop. These storms will encounter colder air above the surface, which will be conducive for strong winds and hail, large hail in fact like earlier this week. There will also be the possibility, especially for those just south of the front and closer to the area of low pressure, for a couple of tornadoes to develop.
The severe threat will end around 2 or 3am and the rain will depart shortly their after. Clouds will start to clear for the second part of Sunday, but temperatures will drop through the day. It will be warmer in the morning than the evening on Sunday. A Winter chill will return to start the week before we approach 70 again for next weekend.
Be sure to stay with Newscenter 11 on your Saturday, especially in the evening hours. Jeff will have all the latest weather on Newscenter 11 at 6 and 10 on Saturday, and I will be in as needed.