The main focus on this forecast discussion (and all leading up to the event) will be on the chance for a significant severe weather outbreak across the South Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Before we get to that, today was unseasonably warm, and tomorrow looks even warmer with highs topping out in the low 70s. No rain is expected Monday or Tuesday during the day, but Tuesday will be even warmer with highs in the mid 70s, and a gusty South wind. A storm system is just now making landfall over Northern California, and that will be the one to watch over the next 48 hours or so. It is expected to dig South, and intensify. The Storm Prediction Center has a large area of the Southern US under a "Slight Risk" for Severe weather on Tuesday. We are not included yet, because it looks like our action will begin to heat up Wednesday morning. As this system moves East, it is expected to roll into a squall line that will bring the risk for damaging straight line winds, as well as the chance for embedded tornadoes, and the possibility for tornadoes in any cells that form ahead of the main line. All of the severe weather parameters look like they will be in place. Our dewpoints will be above 60, there will be plenty of moisture in the atmosphere, and winds aloft will be very strong. This system definitely bears watching over the next few days. It is not a storm system to worry about or lose sleep over, but just make sure you stay tuned and have a way of getting weather warnings Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. A NOAA Weather Radio is the best way, so go ahead and check the batteries. We'll continue to watch this, and bring you updates often.
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