Sunday, August 17 Forecast Discussion

A warm day for us today with ample sunshine and just a rogue pop-up storm for us on our Sunday. Rain chances are going to pick up as we head into our Monday as a cold front approaches from our north. This front and the upper level low associated with it will take its time is crossing the area, meaning periods of showers and storms for Monday as well as lingering showers and storms on Tuesday.

As we transition into Wednesday, an upper level ridge will begin to build in from the west. This will be our last decent chance to see rain as once the ridge develops over top of the area, we will see sinking air which will drop rain chances to below ten percent. High pressure will only intensity through the weekend and remain centered over the northern Gulf of Mexico and our area. At this time, there are no signs of this ridge breaking down within the seven day forecast period.

As with any ridge that builds in during the summer, temperatures will skyrocket underneath it. Highs will be slow to warm to start the week as rain and clouds limit how warm we get. Once we get into Wednesday, near cloud free skies will allow temperatures to continue to climb into the middle and upper 90s. In fact, by the time we reach Friday, highs will start to push 100 degrees across the area for the first time since 2012. Heat indices will be near or above 105 degrees through the weekend, making this the most dangerous stretch of heat we have had in two years.


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