Sunday, February 24 Forecast Discussion

After a fantastic weekend, especially Sunday with highs in the vicinity of 70, we now reintroduce rain showers as we work through the overnight into our Monday. A few storms may rumble through just after sunrise Monday, but these should stay sub-severe with hail the main threat. We should see a break in the action Monday afternoon before the cold front arrives and brings us our chance at severe weather.

The pattern setting up looks very similar to the one a week ago that saw a tornado in Jefferson Davis County in Mississippi and the timing looks similar to the system that caused the Hattiesburg EF-4 tornado. This time, it appears that instability, uplift, and shear should all be in place, meaning that is storms can remain discreet, we most likely will see rotating storms. We will also see a wind threat from the squall line and any storm that can develop where winds could top 80mph.

Right now, the timing for the severe weather looks to be between 6pm Monday and midnight Tuesday. This also aligns with the best uplift and instability moving over us, so we may see a pretty active evening. Just about everyone has a risk to see severe weather as outlined by the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK.

The best thing to do now, like before any severe weather event, is to be prepared. Make sure your NOAA Weather Radio is working; if you live in a mobile home, be sure you can be in a sturdier structure, and stay with Jeff and I for the latest updates. If you haven't already, be sure to like the WTOK-TV Facebook page and follow us on Twitter @Newscenter 11.


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