Sunday, March 2 Forecast Discussion

By: Aaron Morrison Email
By: Aaron Morrison Email

Another taste of Spring has come and gone with temperatures in the mid 70s area wide. As we head into Sunday evening towards early Monday morning a frontal passage with associated arctic air will move in from the Northwest bringing a shot of a slight risk of severe weather and cooler weather.

Timing:

The northern portions of the viewing area will start to rain ahead of the front around 9 pm and it all of us will be out of the rain/t'storms by around 10 am. Behind the front temperatures will quickly drop into the 40s and tomorrow our temperatures will struggle to get out of the 40s with wind chills in the upper 30s.

Threats:

Not all of us will see forms of severe weather, as most of the storms will stay to our south and west. As with the last system that moved through bringing us a round of storms, the main threat will be straight line winds in excess of 60 mph. Our threat of hail looks to be very limited as well as tornadoes, but you can't rule out the possibility of a weak one. Any form of winter precipitation will stay well off to our north and west.

As Monday arrives strong cold air advection from the North and gusty winds will make for a very cold day and overnight Monday we will fall quickly into the upper 20s lower 30s area wide. The good news with this system is it will quickly lift off to our east and temperatures will start rising back into the 60s by the weekend.

Towards the middle of this week a system will develop of the Coast of Texas which will give us another shot of rain. Right now as all the models still aren't agreeing on how far north, the rain makes it chances for rain are still low, but they continue to creep up each day as the models get more in line with the system.


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