Thursday, April 4 Forecast Discussion

Rain showers have been few and far between today. Showers were around this morning and have not been seen since. Dry air ahead of our upper level low between about 10,000-18,000 feet has caused our rain to dry up. We will see one last round of showers overnight as the back side of the upper level low swings through. These will be nothing more than drizzle to a light rain shower. A storm may develop, but I find that possibility highly unlikely.

Clouds will clear out through our Friday morning and early afternoon, leaving us with full sunshine by the evening hours. We will do most of our warming tomorrow during the afternoon, keeping us from getting as warm as we could get otherwise. Full sunshine will be with us on Saturday before clouds slowly start returning Sunday through Wednesday.

It is next Wednesday and Thursday we are watching very closely as our next system will begin arriving from the west. This one will have plenty of warmth and moisture to work with, and even though we are a week out, models are in fairly good agreement that we could see a potential severe weather event for the later portion of next week. I won't go any further into discussing it at this point because we are so far out and so many variables have to be just right for severe weather, but this system is one to watch very closely.

Temperatures will warm up nicely as high pressure returns this weekend and our winds turn to the south. Temperatures will return to the 70s on Saturday and should make it back to the 80s by Monday, if not, then definitely by Tuesday.


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