Thursday, June 19 Forecast Discussion

Even though it is not officially Summer yet, it has made its arrival across the Twin States and will continue to feel like summer for the foreseeable future. High pressure at the surface is attempting to reestablish itself today, and the ridge of high pressure above us is strongly in place, helping to limit, for now, the shower and storm coverage. This ridge will hold through Friday, meaning that only pop-up showers and storms will again be possible. Highs on Friday could reach the warmest this week as we will push the mid 90s.

Saturday brings a cold front into the area as our ridge of high pressure weakens. As of now, the timing looks to be in the afternoon and evening hours, meaning the first part of your Saturday should be dry. Unlike this week, rain chances could linger into overnight Saturday and early Sunday morning. The front will drift south and dissipate Sunday, but could still touch off some showers and storms, especially south of Interstate 20, late in the day on Sunday.

Next week brings about a question of what will win out for our weather. A trough will be trying to dive southward from the northern Plains while our ridge will attempt to return. While most models are going the route of the trough impacting us, I do not believe that it will make it this far south, so I am siding more with the ridge returning, limiting rain chances, and starting to warm us back up. I am going to go a bit conservative for the middle of next week temperature-wise for now, riding the fence as it were, to see and make sure the ridge does in fact return. If it does, next week will look a lot like this week but could be a little warmer.

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