Thursday, May 15 Forecast Discussion

The cool air is now firmly in place as temperatures are not even to 60 for most locations as of 11am. We will continue to warm through the day but the main story is the cool night that is in store. The record low for Key Field tonight is 45 set in 1973 and we could come within a degree of that tonight. Tomorrow will start offering our massive warm up as we go from the 60s to 90s in about 6 days.

Clouds will be a but more pronounced from now through Sunday as a few disturbances move to our north in a northwest flow on the back side of our upper level low. These disturbances may touch off a few rain showers to our north and west, but it looks like dry air should win the battle over top of East Mississippi and West Alabama keeping us dry. Now, I would not be surprised if we see a stray shower make it through the dry air, but I do not expect enough rain to place a 10 percent chance in the forecast Friday through Sunday.

Monday is when high pressure at the surface and especially aloft will take over and warm our temperatures to the warmest of the year. Skies will also clear as sinking air prevails. We will go from 85 on Monday to 90 and 91 Wednesday and Thursday respectively. At this point, there is no sign of the end to our warm up through at least next Friday.


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