Thursday, May 9 Forecast Discussion

A very complex forecast is evolving for the next two days as a lot of what will happen will depend on what we call mesoscale, or small scale, interactions through Friday and Saturday. What we know is that a storm complex back off to the west is moving eastward through Louisiana and looks to arrive here between sunrise and 10am. This will bring potentially some strong winds, heavy rainfall, and the potential is not out of the question for a tornado or two, but that threat looks to remain south of Highway 84. Once these storms exit towards early afternoon, the question is do we warm back up enough to see more showers or storms? The rain cooled air may be just cool enough to keep us from seeing any more rain.

Saturday will see more rain showers as a cold front swings through. The coverage of rain will depend on how much energy is left in the atmosphere. Right now, I do not expect a lot of coverage in rainfall, especially north of I-20, with the most rain along and south of Highway 84.

Skies will begin to clear overnight Saturday and into Sunday as high pressure returns from the north. This will bring with it slightly cooler air, and we will slowly moderate back towards the 80s through the middle of next week. As of now, we look to stay dry through Thursday, but our next system could get here either Thursday or Friday, so it is something to watch.


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