Tuesday 6/18 Forecast Discussion

The showers and storms got an early start this morning, developing over Western and Central Mississippi not too long after midnight. Those storms moved through East Mississippi and West Alabama in a few subsequent waves this morning, bringing heavy downpours, thunder, and lightning. The good news is that none of these were severe or particularly strong, but were an inconvenience to some of us. The cold front responsible for firing up these storms is continuing to sag to the South, and is between the I-20 and Highway 82 Corridors late this afternoon, so that is where most of our rain is this PM. As the front continues to move Southward, the rain chances will clear from North to South with its passage. I think we'll see the storms come to a gradual end tonight from North to South, but the only "fly in the ointment" is a cluster of showers and storms over Northern and Central Louisiana. At this point, I don't think they will make it in here tonight because our atmosphere is not that unstable, but they will have to be watched. Tomorrow, most of us will see a break from the rain, and precipitation should be confined to the Highway 84 Corridor and South. Thursday looks like our best chance for a rain free day, as drier air continues filtering in from the North, and rain chances stay relatively low for the weekend, but once we hit the beginning of the next work week, increased moisture, daytime heating, and some energy from a disturbance that will affect the Northern parts of the Eastern US look to combine together to once again bring us a pretty good shot at some showers and storms. In Tropical news, TD 2 is continuing to move to the Northwest over Central America and into the Bay of Campeche. Unless something crazy happens and it makes a very, very unexpected turn to the Northeast, it should not affect our weather.

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