Tuesday, January 8th Forecast Discussion

Sunshine was out again today for some of us as we had breaks in the clouds. The clouds will thicken up and block out the sun now as we move into our Wednesday. A few showers are trying to already develop around Laurel, but the atmosphere a little to dry for those showers to make it to the ground.

Rain showers should arrive after midnight and overspread the area from south to north. I'm not expecting much from these showers expect some light to moderate rainfall amounts. The heaviest rain for our Wednesday will be held back towards the Jackson metro and Mississippi Delta. We actually should see a break in the rain tomorrow afternoon into Thursday morning.

Thursday still has more question marks than answers at this point, but the forecast is starting to come into clarity. Right now, I am expecting an upper level low that is currently over northern Mexico to lift to our north, crossing over points like Vicksburg, Southaven, and Jackson, TN. What does that mean for us? That means the upper level support needed for storms to develop will also be to our north. The track of the upper level low is important because if it moves further east towards us, it will but us in position to see a better chance of some severe weather.

For now, I am expecting a squall line or a couple of storms to move through East Mississippi and West Alabama. We do have a severe threat, but it is very minimal at this point. Any storms we see will probably be competing for energy with storms that end up developing to our south along the coast, so it looks like just a severe storm or two. The threat for Thursday are damaging winds, but if a storm can really isolate itself, it may be able to generate some rotation so a tornado cannot be ruled out.

Once the front passes Friday morning, skies will clear some with temperatures into the middle 70s. We actually could push the record high at Meridian on Saturday (record is 79, forecast is 77) before more rain arrives Sunday through next Tuesday.

For the numbers and actual forecast, go to the 7 day on the weather tab or watch the weather forecast on our video player.


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