Tuesday, March 4 Forecast Discussion

Temperatures have not moved much today thanks to thick cloud cover. Rain showers have developed south of Interstate 20, and some snow and sleet has mixed in on occasion. Elsewhere, a few flurries have fallen again this morning thanks to still plenty of low level moisture. This is all thanks to an upper level low that is still in East Texas slowly heading in our direction. It will keep the clouds and rain showers around the area, but will also keep temperatures down through the night.

Temperatures should hold steady in the mid 30s through the overnight, meaning no major icing problems are expected on area roads. Rain will taper off as we head into the morning hours on Wednesday with most of the afternoon dry as the lift with the low moves to our east. Behind this area of low pressure, another one is poised to impact us Thursday.

Thursday's system looks to spread rain showers across the area. It will also give us a reinforcing shot of cold air during the day helping to keep temperatures lower. It will depart late Thursday into Friday, so a lingering shower is possible early Friday before skies start to finally break up and see the return of sunshine. If clouds are able to clear fairly quickly as currently thought, we should be able to return to 60 for Friday.

Middle and upper 60s will greet us for Saturday before clouds increase late ahead of our next system for Sunday and Monday. As of now, this system does not look to have a lot of rain with it, so just scattered showers are expected at this time.

Tuesday is a questionable day as models are split on what will happen. Some expect skies to clear behind our system on Monday and a pretty nice day to ensue while others are developing a low in the Gulf which could mean more rain for us. I am going to lean towards the solution of skies clearing behind our system on Monday, but this part of the forecast will need to be ironed out in the coming days.


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