Wednesday, February 12 Forecast Discussion

Our system that has been bringing us rain and some wintry precipitation mixing in is starting to exit, but as it does, colder air is working in above the surface, which is causing some snow flakes to mix in from time to time, especially in Winston, Noxubee, and Pickens Counties. While some snow flakes will make it to the ground, the actual ground temperature and lowest layer of the atmosphere is above freezing (even in our far northern counties), so I do not expect snow to stick anywhere except on grassy or cold surfaces. Even if the snow sticks, it will cause little to no impacts and accumulate little to nothing. No more than an inch is even possible in the advisory counties, and I expect most of us will only see the flakes with no accumulation. At most, a dusting will be possible north of Interstate 20. Temperatures will drop below freezing tonight, so we could see some refreezing on bridges and some roads, but this will be minor. All wintry precipitation will end prior to sunrise Thursday.

Thursday will start to see improvement across the area as rain will be gone and clouds will start to clear. We should see afternoon sunshine area wide, although West Alabama may have to wait a few more hours for clearing as the clearing line will work southwest to northeast.

Temperatures climb back to the 60s for Valentine's Day, and a cold front that will be arriving could touch off a shower or two, but that will be our only rain chance through the weekend.

As we start next week, highs will make a solid run towards 70. As of right now, I am not willing to go with 70s for us just yet as there is a hint that we could see some cooling above the surface mix down and keep us in the upper 60s. Either way, it will be a nice relief from what we have been experiencing. There is also the shot of a rain shower each day starting on Monday, but Monday is perhaps the best shot as another cold front will slide through the area.


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