Wednesday, June 12 Forecast Discussion

Another warm day today as temperatures are in the lower to middle 90s with heat indices pushing 100 degrees. We will see another warm day for our Thursday, and this will set the stage for storms to potentially develop and become severe.

The main limiting factor for storms Thursday is can we get them to form? We will be on the southern edge of a weak cold front working through the area. This front will be entering a very warm and unstable air mass, but we have some very warm temperatures around 10,000ft that may prevent storms from developing. If we can break through this cap, we will see storms develop quickly and also become quite severe with winds potentially reaching 80mph and hail as our main threats.

These storms will develop to our north and dive southward through the evening. The Storm Prediction Center has all of the Newscenter 11 viewing area under a slight risk tomorrow for severe weather. The best chance is from I-65 east tomorrow, but we are not out of the woods.

Once this front clears early Friday morning, a little cooler and drier spell lies ahead as highs drop back into the low to mid 90s with heat indices less of a factor and overnight lows in the 60s. Father's Day looks dry and warm and we look to stay dry through the middle of next week, with the only rain chance being a pop-up shower or storm, and they don't look very promising at this moment.

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