Wednesday, May 1 Forecast Discussion

Rain has been persistent today across East Mississippi and West Alabama, especially for locations north of I-20 and south of Highway 82. Key Field has already received over 1.50" today with more rain falling, and more rain in store for the next couple of days.

The cause of all the rain today is a stubborn upper level low spinning over East Louisiana / West Mississippi and drawing plenty of Gulf moisture in our direction. This area of low pressure will slowly move across southern Mississippi tonight and towards Mobile Bay tomorrow morning. As the low begins to exit, rain showers will taper off a bit in coverage, but that will be short lived as a cold front will arrive Friday afternoon, bringing more showers and even a couple of storms for Friday evening into early Saturday morning. The cold front will slide through the area Saturday, clearing out the rain from west to east. Behind it, much cooler weather as the rain, clouds, and cool air will keep us from reaching the 70s until the end of the weekend.

Cooler weather stays around to start next week as a larger upper level low passes to our north and east. This will keep our highs in the low 70s until the middle portion of the week. The good news is that we should be dry late Saturday into at least the middle of next week.

With all the rain we have received today, and rain in the forecast until Saturday, flooding will be a major concern across the entire area. There was a flash flood warning earlier today, and I would not be surprised to see flash flood watches being posted later today/tonight as well as flood warnings for all area rivers. Be very careful near bodies of water and where water covers roadways in normal flood-prone areas. Remember, if you cannot see the road ahead of you, Turn Around Don't Drown.


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