Tropical Storm Fay: East Florida Local Statement

TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
713 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY HAS AGAIN BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY PERSONS WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
BREVARD AND EASTERN ORANGE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 AM.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL LATE
FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL INLAND
COUNTIES WITHIN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EXCEPT OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR VOLUSIA...BREVARD...
INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC
WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7
WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH.

FAY HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...HOWEVER A
SLOW WEST NORTHWEST MOTION IS FORECAST TODAY AND SHOULD APPROACH
THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY EARLY TOMORROW.

SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS BEFORE THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES BACK ONSHORE...FOLLOWED BY A
WEAKENING TREND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE CENTER TRACKS
INLAND.

FLZ047-054-059-141-147-221115-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
713 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF BREVARD COUNTY...
...HIGH WIND GUSTS AND TORRENTIAL RAIN WILL SPREAD INLAND TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS WHICH HAVE IMPACTED EASTERN ORANGE AND
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING HOURS HAVE BEGUN TO
LESSEN IN INTENSITY. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE 3 TO 5 INCHES
ACCUMULATED EARLIER THIS MORNING NEAR BITHLO...TITUSVILLE AND PORT
SAINT JOHN. AS FAY TRACKS SLOWLY INLAND TODAY...THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA AS
ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON TODAY...MAINLY IN SQUALLS.
PEAK GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH WILL OCCUR...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST OF
VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES. RECENT GUST OBSERVATIONS ALONG
THE COAST OF EXTREME NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY WERE 55 MPH...AND A
REPORT WAS JUST RECEIVED OF A 65 MPH GUST ON THE BEACH AT ORMOND
BY THE SEA IN VOLUSIA COUNTY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COASTAL COUNTIES...SAINT LUCIE...INDIAN RIVER...
BREVARD...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY...IMPACTING MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY INCREASE AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY
INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH MID MORNING SHOULD REMAIN
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. IF TORRENTIAL CELLS
PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY. EARLY
TODAY...COVERAGE OF RAIN WILL BE LESS SOUTH OF OSCEOLA AND BREVARD
COUNTIES...BUT SHOULD INCREASE EVEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES
LATER TODAY.

AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE FRIDAY. EVEN FAR FROM THE
CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL STORM...CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST
FOR SEVERAL HOURS WITH TORRENTIAL TROPICAL RAIN RATES. RESIDENTS
THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD NOT LET THEIR GUARD DOWN
CONCERNING THE FLOOD THREAT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CIRCULATION
CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY
FROM OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES NORTHWARD. A FEW WIND GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 65 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY WITHIN
SQUALLS ALONG THE VOLUSIA AND NORTH BREVARD BEACHES. FURTHER TO
THE SOUTH ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES...WINDS
WILL BE SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH OF 40 MPH IN SQUALLS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO LESSEN BY
LATE TODAY AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKENS.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A VERY LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO ACROSS
VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT
SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HIGH SURF WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL.
STORM TIDE WATERS MAY RUN 2 TO 3 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL NEAR THE TIME
OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 11 AM AND NOON. STORM SURGE CONCERNS WILL BE
HIGHEST ALONG THE NORTHERN VOLUSIA COAST...WHERE CONTINUED ONSHORE
WINDS ARE CREATING LONG DURATION POUNDING SURF. SIGNIFICANT BEACH
EROSION REMAINS A CONCERN.

THE EFFECTS OF STORM TIDE WATERS WILL BE MINIMAL SOUTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
STORM FAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

$$

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-221115-
/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
713 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
FAY HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY JUST OFFSHORE THE VOLUSIA
COUNTY COAST DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. FAY SHOULD RESUME A
SLOW WESTERLY MOTION THIS MORNING...FINALLY ADVANCING INLAND.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS PERSIST IN THE OPEN ATLANTIC AS FAY
REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE. BUOY 41009 HAS BEEN REPORTING GUSTS BETWEEN 40
AND 45 KNOTS DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. SEAS ARE OVER 10 FEET
EXCEPT NEAR THE COAST FROM CAPE CANAVERAL SOUTHWARD WHERE HEIGHTS
WERE 4 TO 6 FEET. NUMEROUS SQUALLS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS
ARE ALSO OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE COASTAL WATERS. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WIND AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

$$

FLZ041-044>046-053-144-212200-
/O.CON.KMLB.TI.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080821T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
713 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HIGH WIND GUSTS AND TORRENTIAL RAIN WILL SPREAD INLAND TODAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...
BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS WHICH HAVE IMPACTED EASTERN ORANGE AND
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING HOURS HAVE BEGUN TO
LESSEN IN INTENSITY. RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE 3 TO 5 INCHES
ACCUMULATED EARLIER THIS MORNING NEAR BITHLO...TITUSVILLE AND PORT
SAINT JOHN. AS FAY TRACKS SLOWLY INLAND TODAY...THE THREAT FOR
ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL FLORIDA AS
ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS DEVELOP NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE STORM CENTER
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON TODAY...MAINLY IN SQUALLS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING INLAND COUNTIES...LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...AND
WESTERN VOLUSIA.

...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY...IMPACTING MOST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY INCREASE AS FAY MOVES SLOWLY
INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN RATES THROUGH MID MORNING SHOULD REMAIN
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...BUT TORRENTIAL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. IF TORRENTIAL CELLS
PERSIST...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY. EARLY
TODAY...COVERAGE OF RAIN WILL BE LESS SOUTH OF OSCEOLA AND BREVARD
COUNTIES...BUT SHOULD INCREASE EVEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES
LATER TODAY.

AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE FRIDAY. EVEN FAR FROM THE
CENTER AND AFTER PASSAGE OF THE TROPICAL STORM...CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST
FOR SEVERAL HOURS WITH TORRENTIAL TROPICAL RAIN RATES. RESIDENTS
THROUGHOUT EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD NOT LET THEIR GUARD DOWN
CONCERNING THE FLOOD THREAT DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE CIRCULATION
CENTER OF FAY...ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON...ESPECIALLY
FROM OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES NORTHWARD. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS INDIAN RIVER AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES...WINDS WILL BE
SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT STILL WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH OF
40 MPH IN SQUALLS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO LESSEN BY LATE TODAY AS
FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKENS.

...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE A VERY LOW THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO ACROSS
VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES TODAY. IF A TORNADO DOES DEVELOP...IT
SHOULD BE BRIEF AND SHORT LIVED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE
THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV
AND THEN CLICK ON EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.


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