Tropical Storm Fay: SW AL, NW FL Local Statement

TROPICAL STORM FAY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1121 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL MOVE WEST ALONG THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING...

AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST
OF ALABAMA SUNDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-232100-
/O.CON.KMOB.TR.W.1006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-
INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1121 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY...

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST ALONG THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. THE BROAD CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED AT 11 AM JUST
NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT
THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...AND THEIR ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...STARTING THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PERIODS OF PROLONGED HEAVY FLOODING RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO
WEST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY
RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA

IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

MOBILE AND BALDWIN

AS WELL AS THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE OUT TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA
AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST
OF ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

...INLAND FLOODING...

FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE THE MAJOR IMPACT
FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY. HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO WEST
TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...SOME
10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA. THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
THOSE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...WINDS...

NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST
AND INCREASE TO NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS THE CENTER OF FAY
MOVES BY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD FARTHER TO THE
WEST ACROSS MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL AFFECT THE GULF WATERS OFF DESTIN THIS
AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL THEN SPREAD WESTWARD OVER
MOST OF THE FLORIDA COASTAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SPREAD INTO
THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS FROM 8
TO 10 FEET ARE FORECAST OVER THE GULF WATERS.

MARINE AND COASTAL INTERESTS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION ANY REMAINING
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET BELOW NORMAL
AT MID DAY DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HOWEVER...THIS
WILL CHANGE. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED... MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS ALONG THE COAST COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN
SOME AREAS. AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WESTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDES WILL EFFECT
THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA LATER THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...AND FROM PENSACOLA TO PASCAGOULA AFTER
MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

A HIGH RISK OF VERY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL BEGIN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY. ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF AT AREA
BEACHES DURING THIS EVENT WILL BE ENDANGERING THEIR LIFE. MINOR TO
MODERATE BEACH EROSION ALONG THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
ALABAMA GULF COAST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD FINALIZE THEIR TROPICAL CYCLONE
PREPARATIONS IMMEDIATELY. COMPLETE ACTIONS NOW TO SECURE
PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY HOMES ALONG THE AREA BEACHES...NEAR RIVERS AND
CREEKS...INCLUDING BOATS. VESSELS GOING OFFSHORE OVER THE GULF
WATERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 3 PM CDT TODAY.

$$

ALZ051>060-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-232100-
/O.CON.KMOB.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1121 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

TROPICAL STORM FAY CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST ALONG THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. THE BROAD CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED AT 11 AM JUST
NORTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FAY WILL AFFECT
THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PERIODS OF PROLONGED HEAVY FLOODING RAINS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO
WEST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY
RESIDENTS
IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA...COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...CONECUH...CRENSHAW...
MONROE...WILCOX...CLARKE...WASHINGTON AND BUTLER COUNTIES.

IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WAYNE...PERRY...GREENE...STONE AND
GEORGE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...

AT 11 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST...OR JUST NORTHEAST OF
PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST
OF ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

...INLAND FLOODING...

FLOODING FROM EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE THE MAJOR IMPACT
FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL ONSET FROM EAST TO
WEST TODAY. DURING THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...SOME 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS THE AREA.
THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. THOSE HEAVY RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT WESTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.

THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF RIVERS AND
STREAMS IS POSSIBLE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WHERE HEAVIER RAINS ARE
CURRENTLY FORECAST.

...WINDS...

GUSTY WINDS FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WILL BEGIN TODAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THEN SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT AS THE CENTER OF FAY MOVES WEST ALONG THE GULF COAST.

...TORNADOES...

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AS FAY MOVES WESTWARD. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST SIDE OF FAY ARE MORE LIKELY TO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM TROPICAL STORM FAY IS FLASH FLOODING. FLASH
FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. PERSONS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS TODAY. STAY INFORMED AND
BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. LEAVE AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS
RISING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE BY 3 PM CDT TODAY.


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