Friday, April 19 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

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It’s been a cloudy and cool day as rain showers have moved across our area from time to time. For the rest of the afternoon and early evening, we’ll see a chance of a passing shower or two and perhaps a rumble of thunder. No severe weather is expected, but some thundershowers could contain small hail due to very cold air aloft. There’s a very good chance you won’t hear thunder today/tonight (most of that activity has been well to our south), but it’s still a possibility nonetheless.

Stray showers will exit east Mississippi after midnight, with perhaps a stray shower leftover in our west Alabama counties. Clouds will follow a similar pattern, meaning the clouds will start to exit east Mississippi after midnight, with cloud cover hanging around west Alabama until perhaps as early as sunrise tomorrow. Saturday will be much nicer than today, with plenty of sunshine expected and highs in the upper-60s to right around 70. We’ll continue a warming trend into Easter Sunday, with highs making it to the upper-70s to right around 80 that afternoon.

Highs will be in the low-80s area wide by Monday as we still look to see plenty of sunshine, this time with a few high clouds streaming through the area. Mid-80s for highs return by Tuesday with clouds starting to increase out ahead of the next storm system expected to impact our area. I’ll reintroduce stray showers into the forecast for Wednesday afternoon, with a better chance of showers on Thursday.

Models are still spread out on how this disturbance will develop, but it’s something we’ll keep a close eye on. At this time, severe weather (and even thunderstorms for that matter) look unlikely for Thursday. Isolated storms will be possible by Friday; however, these storms will fire up in a high instability, low wind shear environment (similar to what we see in the summertime) and thus severe weather is not expected with this activity.