Friday, July 12 Morning Forecast Discussion

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Happy Friday! It’s a mild and muggy one out there as we begin the last day of the work week. Thanks to the increase in moisture from Barry and a couple of it’s farthest outer bands moving through our area today, expect a slight increase in rain and storm coverage than compared to the past few days. A wash-out today is not expected, but keep an eye to the sky if you have any outdoor activities planned. Due to the tropical nature of this activity this afternoon, storms will be able to survive a bit longer than usual past sunset. Highs will get into the low-to-mid-90s on our Friday, with heat index values around 100 degrees.

After the afternoon storms fizzle out during the first part of the evening, a few passing showers will continue to be possible through the rest of the night. Lows Saturday morning will be in the mid-70s. Rain and storms will become more numerous throughout the day on Saturday as Tropical Storm Barry’s impacts ramp up over our area. Some of the activity Saturday afternoon could produce a brief and weak tornado, as is typical for most tropical storms that impact our area. The tornado threat is pretty low at this time, but that threat will continue to be monitored in case Barry takes a more eastward track.

Rain and storms will continue Saturday night and through the day on Sunday. The severe weather threat will go away on Sunday, but the heavy rain will continue. At this point, it looks like 2-5 inches of rain will be likely across our area this weekend. This activity could cause some flash flooding, especially if a strong rain band sets up somewhere over our area. That will be something that needs to be watched closely throughout this weekend. As for wind, expect sustained winds as high as 20-25 (and maybe 30) mph, with an isolated wind gust or two of 40-45 mph. This could cause some branches and weak trees to fall, potentially causing localized power outages. Widespread wind damage is not expected. At this time, the windiest time period looks to be late-Saturday through mid-Sunday.

Leftover scattered showers and storms will be possible on our Monday as Barry departs our area. An additional inch of rain may fall overnight Sunday into our day on Monday. After a stretch of cooler temperatures thanks to the rain from Barry, 90s for highs will return by Tuesday as we keep a chance a pop-up storms through Thursday.