Friday, July 5 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

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Temperatures today have likely reached at least 98, making today the warmest day of the year so far and ties us with the highest temperature in 2018. We will see another hot day on Saturday as we should make a run at 100, as long as pop-up storms stay away from your location.

High pressure will weaken starting on Sunday as it shifts a bit more to our west. As a result, highs will drop down into the middle 90s and pop-up storms will remain possible each afternoon. Humidity values will remain high so that our heat index will top 100 each afternoon.

Late next week the forecast gets more challenging as a cold front to our west will extend and stall in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Some of our long range models hint that this front may spin up an area of low pressure along the front that could increase clouds and rain along the Gulf Coast starting Thursday or Friday. We are almost a week out, so there are questions if this scenario will happen, but I will increase clouds and drop highs a degree to accommodate this solution. It is too early to determine if this would even be tropical if it developed, but it will be something to watch as we move into next week.