Happy Tuesday! Temperatures are in the low-to-mid-60s this morning as light to moderate rain showers continue to move across our area. The coverage of the rain will increase along with the intensity heading into the daytime hours on our Tuesday. Generally speaking, 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected today. Models are in general agreement that a heavy rain band will set up somewhere between I-20 and Highway 82. Depending on where exactly this band of heavy rain ends up will determine which spots could see locally higher amounts up to 5 inches. Localized flash flooding will be a concern, so make sure to use caution on the roadways and remember to turn around, don't drown if you come across a flooded roadway. An isolated strong to severe storm will be possible south of I-20, with damaging winds as the main threat. A brief and weak tornado can't entirely be ruled out, but chances for that are pretty low. Timing for a severe storm will be between 1 p.m. and 8 p.m.
Periods of showers with perhaps a rumble of thunder will continue into the overnight hours as the cold front itself moves on through. A few showers may linger on into Wednesday morning, but most of the day will be dry with mostly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the low-70s on Wednesday. Morning lows will be in the mid-40s Thursday, with afternoon highs only in the upper-60s. Friday morning will once again feature morning lows in the 40s, but afternoon highs will be in the mid-70s. We look to be dry with mostly sunny skies on both Thursday and Friday.
By the weekend, a low pressure system originating from the Gulf of Mexico will bring increased rain chances for Saturday and Sunday. There is still a good amount of uncertainty about the placement and timing of this system, and thus I am only keeping rain chances at 30% on both Saturday and Sunday for the time being. This will likely have to be updated as we get closer. Highs will return to around the 80 degree mark over the weekend. The warmest day of the next seven will be on Monday as highs are expected to climb into the mid-80s. A cold front will be arriving from the west; however, and thus rain and storm chances will increase once again.