Monday, January 7 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

After a fantastic weekend, the first Monday of 2019 has also been great weather-wise so far as high pressure remains in control to allow temperatures again into the middle and upper 60s. A weak cold front is currently moving through central Arkansas with some showers in the Mississippi Delta. This front will move into our area tonight and into tomorrow morning to touch off a couple of showers. Winds will turn more west-northwest through the day of Tuesday, but highs will be unaffected.

Cooler air will arrive starting Wednesday as we drop back into the 50s for highs, which is where we look to remain for the rest of the week and into the weekend. High pressure will build back in to clear skies for Wednesday before clouds start increasing ahead of our next system that will be here on Saturday.

Saturday looks to be a washout at this point as rain arrives overnight and lasts perhaps as late as Sunday morning. There are still questions with this system, mainly track, that will impact our weather. A more northern track would bring more rain to our area, perhaps a few storms, and warmer temperatures on Saturday. A more southern track, where a majority of our models are, would bring rain, but not as heavy, and a cooler day for Wednesday. I cannot ignore the southern solution entirely since most models are on that route, but I will allow some room for a northern track as that has been the preferred route this winter. Therefore, I will split the difference with highs but keep thunder wording out of the forecast for now.

We will dry out on Sunday with clouds staying with us with more sunshine on Monday and cooler temperatures.