Monday, May 13 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Partly cloudy skies have been with us today, and we will clear out this evening as high pressure moves closer to the area and becomes the primary driver of our weather. As a result of clear skies, calm winds, and dry air in place, temperatures will drop into the lower and middle 50s overnight, good enough to be 8 to 10 degrees below average. We will see the coolest afternoon of the next week on Tuesday as we all stay in the 70s.

We begin to warm on Wednesday as high pressure slides to our east and winds turn around from the south. Temperatures and humidity will increase each day as we make another run towards 90 as we head into the upcoming weekend. We may get humid enough, and warm enough, for a shower or two to develop in the afternoons late week, but we will have to see if we can get enough moisture back and if high pressure can put a lid on any rain as we get closer.

Our next cold front won't be here until Sunday at the earliest. Models are split on when, and if, we see rain from this system. Because of this uncertainty and lower than normal confidence at this range of the forecast, I will go with isolated showers Sunday and Monday with partly cloudy skies. We will fine tune as we get closer.