Our severe weather threat for Saturday is getting closer. The threat includes potential for tornadoes, destructive winds, large hail, and localized flash flooding.
TIMING SATURDAY'S SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
The severe weather threat will begin unfolding Friday afternoon and evening over Texas and Louisiana before it targets Mississippi and Alabama Saturday. Some variation in timing is still possible. Based on current high resolution data, storms will arrive around 8-9 AM at the earliest and exit by 2-3 PM
- 8 AM THROUGH NOON: Philadelphia, Choctaw, Louisville, Noxapater, Newton, Union, Lake, and Sebastopol
- 10 AM THROUGH 2 PM: Meridian, Marion, Lauderdale, Collinsville, Vimville, Clarkdale, DeKalb, Preston, Scooba, Macon, Quitman, Stonewall, Enterprise, Pachuta, Shubuta, Waynesboro, Cuba, York, and Gieger
- 11 AM THROUGH 3 PM: Livingston, the University of West Alabama, Butler, Lisman, Gilbertown, Silas, Toxey, Demopolis, Linden, Sweet Water, and Dixons Mill
The enhanced risk - level 3 out of 5 - for severe thunderstorms is still in place, and we are in the bullseye of that risk area for Saturday. The environment is favorable for tornadoes. Destructive winds of 80-100 mph are also possible, even outside of tornadoes. That tornado-like wind can cause tornado-like damage. Saturday is a day to treat severe thunderstorm warnings just as you would treat a tornado warning. The wind doesn't have to be whirling in a tornado to cause significant damage.
Take time to be prepared. Stay informed with updated weather information daily. More frequent updates - every hour or more - will be important on Saturday. Be ready to move to a place of safety if dangerous weather threatens.
FLASH FLOOD THREAT
In addition to the severe weather impacts, heavy rain will bring a threat of flash flooding. Widespread rainfall of 1-2" is likely. Localized instances of more than three inches are possible. Some rivers will still be over flood stage. Others will be just below flood stage. Adding more rain to the rivers is not going to be good.
THURSDAY NIGHT & FRIDAY
This evening will be cloudy with a stray shower or two. Temperatures will hold steady in the 60s this evening and cool into the upper 50s through Friday morning. Friday afternoon will be cloudy and windy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Wind away from any thunderstorms will blow at 15-30 mph with gusts toward 40 mph. Severe thunderstorms are unlikely on Friday. The severe weather threat unfolds on Saturday.