Thursday, December 28 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Clouds have been stubborn across parts of the area today, but temperatures have still warmed into the upper 40s as anticipated today. We will see clearing tonight, and with light north winds, dry air, and clear skies, we will drop into the middle to upper 20s by sunrise Friday. A light south wind will help to rebound highs to the lower 50s, closer to where we should be for this time of year.

Saturday will see clouds return ahead of our next system. Winds will be from the south to warm us back to near normal after we start off near freezing.

Sunday is still a forecasting challenge as we prepare to enter the new year. Models have come into much better agreement today, and are also hinting that rain may make it out of here before we get cold enough air in place to see a mix or brief changeover to freezing rain. However, timing is still going to be close, so I will maintain the mention of freezing rain for Sunday evening but lower the likelihood at this point. Temperatures will fall through the day on Sunday, making it a race against time to see if rain can exit before the coldest air arrives Sunday evening.

New Year's Day will see lots of sunshine but cold as we stay in the 30s throughout the day. We get a reinforcing cold blast arriving on Tuesday thanks to a arctic air mass dislodging from Canada and barreling southward. One thing models agree is that it will be cold. The question is still how cold? I have dropped lows each day after Monday next week with us likely dropping into the teens each day. Highs I have kept in the middle to upper 30s for now, but that is likely too high if the cold verifies. I do not want to drop too much on highs as we should see lots of sunshine to help us at least warm a bit, but I will admit I am being very conservative at this point. The coldest stretch in about two years is coming to start the month.