Thursday, December 6 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Another beautiful but cold day with high clouds arriving, signaling the beginning of our downhill trend towards our next system that will arrive late Friday. Models have sped up the timing some of rain first arriving to around or just before sunset Friday. Now, rain will first likely fall into a layer of dry air and have to moisten it before rain completely makes it to the ground. However, the earlier start would allow almost a guarantee of at least scattered showers by the end of Friday, so I have upped rain chances as a result.

Saturday continues to look a washout, so I have done something I rarely do, placed rain chances at 100 percent. Rain will be with us all day, but there could be a lull for some locations Saturday morning. The heaviest rain area wide will fall along and south of Interstate 20 in the afternoon and evening hours. In about a six hour span between 2pm and 8pm, we could see rainfall amounts of one to two inches. While flash flood watches are unlikely at this point, some localized flooding is possible in poor drainage areas.

Rain will taper off Sunday morning with likely all of the rain gone by the afternoon Sunday. Rainfall totals of widespread one to three inches are likely by this point with some locally higher amounts. Clouds will remain through Monday.

Skies clear on Tuesday before they return on Wednesday with perhaps a weak cold front on Thursday. I will include a small rain chance on Thursday for now with a more significant front likely arriving Friday morning. Highs will return back above average Thursday.