Thursday, June 14 Morning Forecast Discussion

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Happy Thursday! Showers and a few embedded thunderstorms having been moving through parts of west-Alabama early this morning. These should continue to push south and out of our area through the morning hours. Your Thursday will feature mostly cloudy skies with a high around 89. Scattered storms will be possible throughout the day on Thursday, though most of the activity will be in the afternoon. Overnight we’ll see partly cloudy skies with lows around the 70 degree mark. A stray storm will be possible but most, if not all of us, will be dry.

Scattered storms will be possible throughout the daytime as well on Friday. The majority of the showers and storms should stay along and south of I-20, but no one will be fully out of the clear. Just remember that it won’t be raining all day and some may see no precipitation, but storms will be around. Rain chances go down Saturday and Sunday to only pop-up afternoon storms with highs reaching the low-90s again.

A ridge of high pressure will start to build in by the end of the weekend and into the start of next week. This will mean we should stay dry for at least Monday and Tuesday. Some models try to creep in a shower or storm each afternoon, but I don’t buy that at this time as the ridge should be strong enough to keep rain out of our area. Overall, confidence is medium for Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures for both these days will be able to reach the mid-90s with the high pressure in place. There will be a chance for a weak cold front to move through Wednesday, so pop-up storm chances will be re-introduced for that day.

In the tropics, the National Hurricane Center has that tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula at only a 10% chance of development over the next 5 days as it moves into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Our only impacts from this will be increased cloud cover and pop-up storm chances for Sunday.