We have been baking in this heat, and it isn't over yet. What may help break this hot streak is something sneaking up out of the tropics.
A New Tropical Disturbance Could Have Implications On Our Weather.
Something new is showing some signs of development in the tropics. A disturbance near the southeastern Bahamas has shown some signs of organizing. It could become a tropical depression on Thursday or Friday as it tracks northwestward toward the coast of South Florida. It will move with with the flow of a large high pressure ridge situated now to its north/northwest. A cold front over the Midwest will approach and break down the western edge of the high pressure ridge. That will likely result in a turn toward the north of the disturbance we are tracking. Exactly where that northward turn will happen is a bit of a question.
Where will this disturbance go?
It will track northwestward through the Bahamas through Thursday evening. By Friday afternoon, it could be nearing South Florida between the Florida Keys and West Palm Beach. After crossing Florida, it is expected to enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico between Key West and Tampa Bay on Saturday afternoon. By Sunday afternoon forecasts start to vary a bit more. Guidance suggests this system will be over the northern Gulf, possibly nearing the northern Gulf Coast between Southeast Louisiana and the Florida Big Bend. Then Monday afternoon and evening through Tuesday morning it tracks inland.
Will it affect us in East Mississippi and West Alabama?
If this developing disturbance is to affect us in East Mississippi and West Alabama, it would happen Monday afternoon or evening at the earliest. Right now, it looks like a significant rain maker at the very least. . We will be closely watching for changes in the forecast. As this system grows better organized, it will become easier to know with more accuracy where the northward turn will happen.
Stay updated on new information daily regarding this system. Don't look at one forecast and assume it won't change. Don't rely on online computer model data for your forecast. Computer models can be incorrect, and knowledge of the science behind the models is important to catch the errors. Watch Newscenter 11 or check out our updates online at WTOK.com. You can also get updates from the National Hurricane Center online.
In the mean time....
The rest of this week and this weekend will stay mostly dry. This evening will be mostly clear, though a stray shower can't be ruled out. Most areas will stay dry. Temperatures will ease back from 90s to 80s and then into the 70s by 10 PM. Expect lows by morning in the lower 70s. Thursday will warm quickly beneath warm sunshine. The morning will warm through the 70s and 80s and into the lower 90s by noon. Expect mid-90s in the hottest part of the mid-afternoon. Heat index values will be 100-105. Expect a repeat performance on Friday.