Valentine's Day 2019 Morning Forecast Discussion

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Happy Valentine’s Day! Temperatures are in the upper-30s to low-40s for our Thursday morning, a lot warmer than at this time yesterday thanks to southerly flow returning to our area. We look to have a dry Valentine’s Day with partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper-60s to 70. Stray showers chances look to return after midnight tonight as we bottom out in the low-to-mid-50s on our Friday morning. Friday looks to be the warmest day of the next seven with highs around 71. Stray showers will be possible for our Friday, mainly in the afternoon and into the evening hours as a weak cold front pushes on through.

Because of the aforementioned frontal passage, Saturday will be a lot cooler with highs in the low-60s and stray showers possible once again, mainly in the morning. We rebound back to 70 by Sunday with yet another cold front moving through Sunday night into Monday morning. Stray showers will be possible both Sunday and Monday; however, most of the rain associated with this frontal passage will be during the overnight hours.

Rainfall with the Sunday-Monday front will be light, but a stronger system is expected to affect our area Tuesday into Wednesday. Heavier rain can be expected with this disturbance as highs stay in the upper-50s on Tuesday, and then the mid-60s on Wednesday. There is still a good amount of uncertainty regarding the timing of the frontal passages into next week, so the temperature forecast is likely to change until the models get a better handle on how these systems will play out.