Wednesday, August 14 Morning Forecast Discussion

Happy Wednesday! A few showers and storms are pushing through parts of our area this morning, but the majority of us will remain dry through the rest of the morning. Any storms that have developed are dumping some locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. As of 4:30 a.m., a storm is noted over southern Choctaw County and is slowly moving south. Otherwise, we are starting off our Wednesday with temperatures in the upper-70s and even some low-80s in spots. A weak cold front will be pushing through today and will bring a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms to our area, mainly along and south of I-20/HWY-80. Places to the north of I-20 will still have a shot at seeing rain, but chances are lower than compared to southern portions of our area. Before the cold front arrives, temperatures may still top out in the mid-90s by the early afternoon. Heat index values will top out between 103 and 108 before the front arrives.

A lingering shower will be possible overnight, otherwise we'll start our evening with cloudy skies. Clouds will begin to decrease after midnight and we should wake up to mostly sunny skies with temperatures in the low-70s by Thursday morning. High temperatures won't drop all that much behind the frontal passage, but the humidity will. It will still be a bit humid on Thursday, but not nearly as humid as it has been. Heat index values will likely stay below 100 degrees Thursday afternoon.

There will be a noticeable difference in morning temperatures behind the front, especially Friday morning when we look to drop off into the upper-60s. The humidity factor will slowly start to build back in through the weekend, but we look to stay dry through Saturday. Temperatures will warm into the upper-90s by Saturday, with heat index values between 100 and 105. Isolated storm chances will return by Sunday, with isolated storm chances continuing through at least Tuesday. The increased rain chances will bring in cooler air temperatures; however, it will still be humid and thus heat index values will still top out around 100 degrees even as temperatures drop back off into the low-90s.