Wednesday, February 13 Morning Forecast Discussion

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Happy Wednesday! It’s a chilly start to our day today, with temperatures having dropped just below-freezing in a few spots while many of us are in the mid-30s. Most of the precipitation that has fallen yesterday has dried off the road; however, a few slick spots on bridges and overpasses can’t be entirely ruled out along and north of Highway 16 where temperatures have dropped below freezing. No widespread or major travel concerns are expected. There is also some frost out there area-wide, particularly on car windshields, so be sure to leave a little bit of extra time to get to your destination this morning.

We’ll see lots of sunshine for our Wednesday with highs climbing into the low-60s by the afternoon. More clouds will start to build in tonight as a series of disturbances approaches our area. Thursday morning will be much warmer, with temperatures in the low-40s. We should remain dry for Thursday, with stray showers arriving for our Friday. Highs by then will climb to 70 degrees.

The forecast models are getting a somewhat better grasp on how a series of cold fronts this weekend and into next week will play out in terms of rainfall intensity. I can say with higher certainty that rain chances will be small overall Friday through Monday, with Tuesday being the wettest day of the next seven. Where the models are still all over the place is the exact timing of the frontal passages, which translates into a large temperature spread amongst the models. So expect forecasted highs and lows to change, perhaps a lot, for the weekend and into next week until we get closer and models get a better grip on the situation.