Wednesday, July 11 Afternoon Forecast Discussion

Another afternoon, more pop-up storms around the area thanks to the heat, humidity, and a weak upper level low passing over the area. This low was responsible for the rain yesterday in eastern parts of the viewing area. Storms that have fired will once again fall apart after sunset with clouds thinning.

We will keep pop-up storm chances through the next seven days, although rain will be hard to find Friday through Sunday as high pressure positions itself just to our north to warm highs to the upper 90s and make it very hard for even pop-up storms to fire. Heat index values will likely top 105 each afternoon. I would not be surprised as we get closer, especially if the more heat and less rain solution holds, that we see heat advisories for this weekend.

Temperatures drop back to the middle 90s next week as high pressure loses its grip just a bit and a cold front attempts to approach from the north. Right now, consensus is the front will stall well to our north, and as this is typically what happens, I will continue to go with that solution in our forecast as well. Clouds will increase that will keep highs slightly lower, but as of now, I cannot justify going higher than pop-up storm chances.